Nigeria vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1993 |
ETH
1 - 0
NGA
28%
27%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
NGA
2 - 0
CGO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
CGO
0 - 1
NGA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1992 |
NGA
4 - 0
RSA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1993 |
SDN
1 - 1
UGA
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
ETH
3 - 0
SDN
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
SDN
0 - 0
NGA
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1992 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
UGA
3 - 1
SDN
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |