African Nations Championship 1/16
Global 2-1
Nigeria vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
NGA
24%
29%
47%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NGA
0 - 2
RSA
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
NGA
3 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 1
SEN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NGA
3 - 1
ALG
64%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
NGA
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
TOG
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |