Nepal vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
NPL
3 - 1
IND
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1981 |
NPL
2 - 0
IND
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
MAS
0 - 1
NPL
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 0
NZL
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
2 - 3
JPN
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
TUN
1 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLT
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 2
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
TUN
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1981 |
BHR
0 - 3
TUN
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |