Nepal vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 2
OMA
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
OMA
2 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
NPL
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
GHA
2 - 0
TOG
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
TOG
0 - 2
MLI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TOG
3 - 1
ZAM
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BEN
4 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 1
TOG
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |