Nepal vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NPL
2 - 2
LAO
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
NPL
3 - 0
BRN
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TLS
0 - 0
NPL
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LAO
1 - 1
NPL
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
BRN
62%
18%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAO
1 - 4
MAC
59%
18%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
MNG
38%
21%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |