Nepal vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2008 |
THA
7 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
NPL
0 - 2
PAK
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
NPL
2 - 1
PAK
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 5
TOG
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 7
THA
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
6 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TWN
7 - 2
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
MNG
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |