Nepal vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
0 - 2
IND
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
2 - 5
IDN
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1980 |
NPL
0 - 3
IRN
25%
23%
53%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
NPL
0 - 2
IRN
25%
23%
53%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1979 |
NPL
4 - 0
OMA
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1981 |
JPN
3 - 2
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
MAS
0 - 2
JPN
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1981 |
JPN
2 - 0
MAS
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |