Nepal vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
NPL
1 - 2
SVK
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 0
NPL
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
IRN
1 - 0
NPL
87%
11%
3%
|
50 | 89 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 1
SYR
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
UAE
0 - 2
IRN
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 0
KOR
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
TWN
0 - 2
IRN
2%
9%
90%
|
89 | 41 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRN
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 0
IRQ
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |