Nepal vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AFG
0 - 3
NPL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
1 - 1
NPL
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
1 - 1
KGZ
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
PAK
7 - 0
BTN
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LKA
6 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BGD
4 - 1
BTN
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |