Nepal vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
1 - 1
KGZ
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
0 - 0
PLE
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
NPL
2 - 2
AFG
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
MAS
4 - 0
NPL
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
NPL
3 - 0
LKA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
5 - 0
BTN
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
TKM
7 - 0
BTN
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
PHL
1 - 0
BTN
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
BTN
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
AFG
1 - 3
BTN
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |