Nepal vs Oman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
3 - 2
KWT
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
2 - 1
YEM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 2
OMA
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
0 - 2
IRN
11%
19%
71%
|
50 | 89 | 39 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
NPL
1 - 2
SVK
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Oman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
OMA
0 - 1
UAE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
OMA
1 - 0
BHR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
OMA
2 - 1
YEM
84%
12%
5%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
KWT
1 - 2
OMA
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 2
OMA
12%
20%
69%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |