Nepal vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
NPL
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
NPL
34%
26%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 1
IND
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
MUS
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 3
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MUS
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |