Nepal vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
78.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
NPL
2 - 0
TWN
25%
22%
52%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
IRQ
6 - 2
NPL
83%
14%
3%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 0
BGD
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
0 - 0
NPL
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 1
VIE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 5
UAE
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
JOR
2 - 1
BHR
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
OMA
0 - 0
JOR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |