Nepal vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AFG
0 - 1
NPL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AFG
0 - 3
NPL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
1 - 1
NPL
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 1
PRK
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 0
PRK
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |