Nepal vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
MMR
3 - 0
NPL
55%
23%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PAK
1 - 4
NPL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
MDV
4 - 1
NPL
51%
23%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
IND
4 - 0
NPL
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
KHM
0 - 1
NPL
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
PRK
3 - 0
LKA
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
PRK
2 - 0
JOR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 0
TKM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
TKM
0 - 0
PRK
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |