Nepal vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
73.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
5 - 1
NPL
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NPL
0 - 2
YEM
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
UAE
4 - 0
NPL
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LAO
0 - 1
NPL
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
LAO
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
JOR
0 - 1
BHR
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 0
MAS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 1
BHR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 3
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |