Nepal vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
KSA
2 - 0
NPL
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 3
NPL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 0
OMA
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
3 - 2
KWT
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
NPL
2 - 1
YEM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
OMA
1 - 0
BHR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 2
BHR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRQ
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
KSA
2 - 1
BHR
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
BHR
4 - 0
YEM
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |