Mozambique vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
MOZ
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 94 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MOZ
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RSA
6 - 2
SWZ
74%
19%
7%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
3 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SYC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NAM
1 - 1
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |