Mozambique vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 1
MOZ
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
2 - 0
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 0
MOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
MWI
3 - 1
SWZ
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SWZ
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
SWZ
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TOG
6 - 0
SWZ
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |