Mozambique vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 2
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
MAD
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
MOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
1 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
SYC
0 - 1
SWZ
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
MUS
1 - 1
SWZ
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SWZ
74%
17%
8%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ZAM
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |