Mozambique vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
3 - 4
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CGO
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CPV
3 - 0
SWZ
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SWZ
1 - 1
CPV
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
5 - 2
SWZ
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWZ
0 - 3
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |