Mozambique vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CGO
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MOZ
1 - 0
CTA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BFA
4 - 0
MOZ
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SWZ
1 - 1
CPV
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LSO
5 - 2
SWZ
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWZ
0 - 3
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SWZ
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SWZ
2 - 0
MAD
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |