Mozambique vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BFA
1 - 1
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MOZ
0 - 0
TAN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SEN
2 - 0
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MWI
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
MOZ
4 - 0
SWZ
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 3
TUN
10%
21%
70%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SDN
3 - 0
SYC
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SYC
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
NAM
2 - 4
SYC
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |