Mozambique vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GNB
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
MOZ
3 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GNB
2 - 1
ZAM
6%
12%
83%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
GNB
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
ZAM
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |