Mozambique vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 4
MOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
0 - 1
RWA
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 2
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 1
NAM
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |