Mozambique vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NGA
1 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
KEN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
SWZ
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 1
MOZ
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZAM
18%
21%
61%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 1
EGY
24%
29%
47%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GHA
4 - 1
ZAM
54%
25%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALG
49%
28%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |