Mozambique vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZAM
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NGA
1 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
KEN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 1
KSA
44%
29%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
NGA
2 - 2
TUN
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 0
CIV
43%
28%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
42%
29%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |