Mozambique vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MOZ
0 - 2
MAD
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 2
MOZ
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 4
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SYC
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
KEN
2 - 2
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
NAM
8%
16%
77%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |