Mozambique vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LBY
1 - 0
MOZ
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MOZ
2 - 0
TAN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZAM
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MOZ
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
ZAM
7%
15%
79%
|
11 | 77 | 66 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
LBY
10%
20%
70%
|
10 | 74 | 64 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LBY
3 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 74 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
MOZ
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 0
COM
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 77 | 67 | 0 |