Mozambique vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
74.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
ETH
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
LBY
86%
11%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
GHA
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 2
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 0
MTN
88%
10%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |