Mozambique vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
3 - 4
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SWZ
2 - 0
MAD
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |