Mozambique vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MOZ
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
LBY
86%
11%
4%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
TAN
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
0 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
LBY
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |