Mozambique vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NAM
2 - 1
MOZ
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
POR
2 - 1
MOZ
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1998 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
MWI
0 - 0
MOZ
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1998 |
MWI
2 - 2
MOZ
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |