Mozambique vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SYC
0 - 2
BOT
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHN
4 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |