Mozambique vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CIV
1 - 0
MOZ
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MOZ
2 - 3
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
TAN
0 - 1
MOZ
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAD
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 4
BOT
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |