Mongolia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 0
MNG
98%
2%
0%
|
38 | 98 | 60 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
BGD
2 - 2
MNG
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VIE
4 - 0
MNG
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
MNG
0 - 6
KSA
8%
17%
75%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2001 |
MNG
0 - 3
BGD
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LTU
0 - 3
JOR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2002 |
MLT
1 - 1
LTU
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 0
MDA
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
GEO
2 - 0
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 0
ITA
15%
26%
59%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | +1 |