Mongolia vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
MNG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GEO
6 - 1
MNG
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 78 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
YEM
0 - 2
MNG
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MNG
0 - 1
PHL
12%
20%
68%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PLE
1 - 0
MNG
85%
12%
3%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
3 - 1
VAN
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 2
OMA
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
SDN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |