Mongolia vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
2 - 1
MNG
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PRK
4 - 1
MNG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SGP
2 - 0
MNG
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 1
GUM
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
9 - 0
MNP
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
1 - 2
HKG
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 1
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
9%
14%
77%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
PRK
2 - 0
HKG
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |