Moldova vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MDA
3 - 2
CYP
33%
24%
44%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CYM
0 - 4
MDA
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
MDA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CZE
3 - 0
MDA
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MDA
1 - 1
ALB
15%
23%
63%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
UKR
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UKR
2 - 1
ISL
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
BIH
1 - 2
UKR
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 0
ITA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |