Moldova vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
76.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MDA
1 - 2
AZE
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MDA
2 - 0
LIE
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
LVA
1 - 2
MDA
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
MDA
2 - 1
AND
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
MDA
2 - 4
LVA
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 2
SVN
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ROU
4 - 1
BIH
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 1
ROU
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ROU
0 - 3
MNE
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 0
FIN
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |