Moldova vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
LTU
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
MNE
2 - 5
MDA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
SMR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
ENG
4 - 0
MDA
90%
8%
2%
|
67 | 95 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
AND
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
SCO
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SVN
3 - 0
NOR
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
SUI
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |