Mauritania vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
BDI
0 - 0
MTN
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
CTA
2 - 1
MTN
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MTN
0 - 2
COD
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TOG
2 - 2
MTN
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MLI
0 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
COD
1 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 0
SSD
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |