AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-0
Mauritania vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MTN
1 - 1
NIG
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MTN
2 - 4
GAB
13%
19%
69%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
COD
1 - 0
MTN
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
MUS
4 - 0
SYC
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NAM
2 - 1
MUS
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
65%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CMR
5 - 0
MUS
91%
7%
1%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 2
COD
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |