Mauritania vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
MTN
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MTN
0 - 1
GAM
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
MTN
1 - 1
GAB
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
KWT
0 - 2
LBY
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBY
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
LBY
1 - 1
ANG
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GAB
1 - 0
LBY
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |