Mauritania vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MTN
1 - 0
GNB
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 1
MTN
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GAB
0 - 0
MTN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MTN
3 - 0
SDN
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CGO
1 - 0
CTA
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CTA
2 - 1
CGO
8%
19%
73%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAM
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MLI
4 - 0
CGO
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 1
CGO
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |