Morocco vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
TAN
75%
17%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 13 | 74 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
GEO
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALG
63%
24%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
UGA
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
UGA
2 - 0
GNB
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GNB
0 - 1
UGA
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 1
UGA
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |