Morocco vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
79%
16%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAM
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GHA
2 - 0
MAR
36%
31%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZIM
67%
22%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MLI
2 - 3
SEN
38%
29%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SEN
5 - 1
BFA
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
GHA
1 - 1
SEN
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SEN
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |