Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 5
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
RWA
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CTA
0 - 2
MAR
6%
18%
75%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 2
ZAM
56%
26%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |