Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAM
77%
17%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MWI
0 - 0
MAR
16%
26%
58%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CMR
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CMR
2 - 1
ZAM
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 2
MWI
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
4 - 1
NAM
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |