Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
SEN
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 2
MAR
79%
16%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAM
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GHA
2 - 0
MAR
36%
31%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZAM
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 3
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |